A longer wait time does not mean SDD is outdrawing MF:SR.
If MF:SR has a 45 minute wait, and SDD has a 60 minute wait, there are actually almost 4x as many people in line for MF:SR. It's pretty easy to show with a little basic math...
(# of riders) / ((riders per min) * (standby %)) = wait time
- A conservative estimate of rider distribution for FP+ rides (like SDD) is 80% FP+ / 20% standby
- Currently MF:SR does not use FP+, so the rider distribution is 100% standby.
- The reported max hourly capacity for MF:SR is 1500 riders (25 riders per minute).
- The max hourly capacity for SDD is 1440 riders (24 riders per minute)
With MF:SR, for a standby line of 1125 people, the rider at the end of the line would wait about 45 minutes.
1125 / (25 * 100%) = 45 min.
So, because of FP+, if SDD has a standby wait time of 60 minutes, there are only about 288 people in the standby line.
288 / (24 * 20%) = 60 min.
If SDD had the same number of people in the standby line as MF:SR at 45 min., the wait time for SDD would be 234 minutes.
1125 / (24 * 20%) = 234 min.