Your guide saying he/she is seeing a lot of sales sounds to me like typical salesperson talk & not something to pay any attention to, especially regarding a sold out resort like AKV, they can’t make new points for AKV so the number of people you are competing with for a reservation at 11 months won’t really change. New resorts add points to the system so the 7 month window gets harder and harder, especially at smaller resorts like VGF & BCV, because more people buying at the new resorts = more competition at 7 months. Also, because more people are buying smaller contracts there’s more competition for studios especially at 7 mo.s.
Here’s an old thread that has some data about booking trends, worth taking a look at w/ the caveat that all of the Covid caused ‘extra’ points in the system will most likely make everything tougher to book for the next year or two until all of those banked points get used up or expire.
https://www.disboards.com/threads/p...-bd-charts-september-2019-2-bd-added.3689931/
I own at AKV and we stay in early December, sometimes early January, those are really popular times amongst DVC owners, I book right at 11 months and have never had a problem.
AKV has more choices of types of villas to book than any other DVC resort. You have the choice of staying in Jambo or Kidani. Jambo has fewer villas & they fill faster than Kidani. At Jambo there are the club villas on the 6th floor - these are very popular and very very hard to book - I’ve never gotten one, but they cost a lot of points, so I’m ok w/ that. Also at Jambo are the smaller value villas which are on the 5th floor on Ostrich and Giraffe trail in the front of the building, these too are popular because they don’t cost a lot of points. The rest of the villas at Jambo are on Kudu and Zebra trails on the 5th floor and your choices are standard or savanna views. At Kidani there are savanna or standard views, these cost the same pointwise as the standard/savanna views at Jambo but are larger & the 1 br. & larger villas have an extra bathroom. Kidani is all DVC so there are villas on all the floors.
At 7 months I’ve successfully used my AKV points to stay in Dec. at BWV & VGF, 1 br.s, - but I stalked the RAT to get those stays (ended up adding on at VGF for 11 month window there.) The resort availability tool (RAT) on the DVC member site is much easier to use, IMO, than the regular Disney room booking site.