The problem is that there is no constant national lockdown. People are still moving freely and there are no mandatory 14 day isolation periods for those traveling from deeply infected areas to other parts of the country. Except in the case of those traveling from the NY state airports to Florida- where they must self isolate for 14 days. (and there are those already figuring out how to circumvent that requirement by driving to another state & flying out from there.)
In China there was no movement around the country at all.
Without lockdowns of all persons, with the few exceptions of essential service providers.. the virus will be a challenge to contain enough to “flatten the curve” The other challenge is that without complete self isolation, those who are asymptomatic and very, very contagious- are out there at large unknowingly infecting those they come in contact with.
Disney has not announced a plan to re open because the virus is still on the uptick. Once cases and deaths stop climbing, flatten out and begin a daily decline in numbers.. an educated decision made with the safety of their guests first & foremost in mind will be made and announced.
Given what the current data shows.. mid April is likely too optimistic. Mid June could happen - depending on how this all plays out over the next month to six weeks.
I get the desire to get things going.. we canceled our May 30th to June 6th trip too. It was heartbreaking. But as most things in life - wishing doesn’t make it so