So what do you think now is the best value of the resorts?
I couldn't say. It seems that SSR resale points have been flying off the shelf and the price is rising a bit; that said they still are probably the best deal but that relies on the current rates of MF increases (I am using estimates that are probably pretty aggressive, like 3% on BLT, SSR, OKW, 5.5% per year on properties like BC, BWK, AK & WL, 7% on Aulani, VB, & HH. I see OKW w/out the extension as being neck and neck. I can't get a reliable resale average on OKW extended.
My ESTIMATES for 100 pts annualized average out of pocket cost of contract based on resale purchase at amount a few points higher than average current pass costs of ROFR (not getting into opportunity costs, etc, because they don't vary by property)--these will be way lower at year one and way higher at year 29, 41, 44, 47, 51 or whatever)
Aulani-$5,018.41
AKV-$2,407.41
BLT-$1,174.09
BC-$1,605.57
BWK-$1,615.45
GCV (not enough data)
OKW57(not enough data)
OKW42-$1,067.21
SS-$1,057.08
WL-$1,558.95
HH-$2,013.44
VB-$2,376.93
GF(not enough data)
Of course this assumes you have no resort preference and that you are strictly judging on an annual cost basis... if you want the longer contract, SSR obviously wins... if you want a shorter contract (we want ours staggered in length, GFV being the long one) then perhaps OKW is the level of commitment that would work.
And honestly, because there is no way to REALLY project maintenance fee increase levels, there is really know way to know for sure which properties will remain the cheapest. The upfront cost is only 13%-20% of your lifetime costs depending if you go resale or direct.
Do you have a different take? I'd love to hear it!
Bill
