- Dec 1, 2013
It's still rising here, but people are determined to open anyway.
Your confirmation bias is showing - you may want to rethink this?The AJC newspaper does not believe the Georgia Department of Public Health is presenting the numbers in the most pessimistic way so they recalculate the numbers and provide their own chart. Despite being open for over 3 weeks, the trend is downward.
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Same data as presented by the Georgia DOH.
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The Rt number has been hovering around 1 since April 11th, again despite being open.
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MA border towns have been going to NH border towns throughout this pandemic. Half the workers at the local Market Basket in NH live in MA. Some MA residents work up in the shipyard as well, so get all the way to ME each day. MA has been in NH the whole time., at least on the eastern coast. Also, there have been plenty of NH and ME plates zipping up and down I95 in MA. The eastern coastline of MA, NH, and ME act more like one state than three.NH has increased testing, so cases are still increasing, but the percent of positive tests has decreased significantly. We have started reopening, but the process is painfully slow because our neighbor state has significantly more cases, and its residents have been proving that they are having difficulty with the "stay home" part of the stay at home order.
How is stating that both the Department of Healths chart and the AJCs chart both show a downward trend confirmation bias?Your confirmation bias is showing - you may want to rethink this?
That is because the largest cities that were hardest hit early are seeing a decline while the more rural areas (like mine) are just now seeing increases in cases. I think in larger states you can't go by state numbers as a guide for how things are going in your area. You have to look to county numbers.California as a whole is doing well
yes, I already posted about that. Our numbers are great and we still have super strict restrictions.That is because the largest cities that were hardest hit early are seeing a decline while the more rural areas (like mine) are just now seeing increases in cases. I think in larger states you can't go by state numbers as a guide for how things are going in your area. You have to look to county numbers.
Orange County is trending up (i.e. not doing well), although I look more at hospitalizations, # ICU cases, and deaths, rather than cases. We had our largest daily count of deaths on Wednesday (10), and then topped that on Thursday (14). The county supervisors are gung ho to reopen though. I'm not anxious to go back to any indoor shopping mall, or even Disneyland, for that matter.California as a whole is doing well.