HopperFan
"It's a bug-eat-bug world out there, princess."
- Joined
- Sep 6, 2003
No surprise on the resort being closed BUT the second part is interesting. French Quarter not open to book until 2021 ... now is that just because they aren't booking any reservations until the end of the year "just because" they have so much on their plate and it will open up sooner than that? I can't imagine them staying closed that long.
This is very important to think about in addition that these resorts are smaller in occupancy, sometimes need less transportation options, provide table service dining and yes they are making economic decisions on who they think will still be going to Disney in this economic climate.
I don't think Disney will have any problem filling those rooms at the higher price point.
- Disney already has one of the highest occupancy rates of any hotels, so there is probably a good portion of them already booked on existing reservations.
- There will be a Disney hotel "shortage" and with the park reservation system those rooms just became much more valuable.
- Plenty of folks can afford those rooms and are ready to leave their homes and go somewhere.
- The parks will be operating at a lower capacity making the resort a very attractive trip for many.
I think it underestimation to think any room will be empty if they reduce their overall room numbers.
Phone cast members only have in front of them what is happening today. It's why so many come here for help. If they do know other info from their own knowledge they aren't supposed to share anything other than their scripts in front of them. I wouldn't want their job.
We don't know what they are doing for sure as it is fluid and am sure they weigh their options every morning but ....
If they opened POP/AOA that would be the equivalent of opening ALL the deluxes. From an operational point of view that doesn't make sense when they HAVE to open the DVC. Deluxe will be easier to sell and operate. There is a reason; finances and operating under COVID standards. We have to remember they are working numbers in conjuction with greatly reduced park capacity. They have to balance hotel guest with park guest numbers.
Lottery ~ talk about a PR nightmare, I can't imagine the complaints from that. The choice they make, whatever it is, will be to get as many guests in rooms as they can under the COVID requirements and to stay in the black at those hotels. They are not penalizing anyone, they are making hard decisions so they open successfully.
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Thinking out loud math ...
If only deluxe open initially that is about 5400 rooms ... in comparison POP/AOA alone have about 4900 rooms. When you add DVC that another @4800 rooms/villas. The Disney parks are expected to open at 50% capacity tops. You can't even use their normal capacity because when you close all those big shows, you have to reduce your capacity. Shows provide big number adjusters. Normal times Disney hotels only provide around 35% of the guests in the parks. If we take the normal @capacity of 300-320,000 minus the closed shows, attractions and reduced dining capacity ... ballpark it now at 260,000 ... then cut that number in 50% you have top of 130,000. Disney average is 35% of the guests = 45,500 The deluxe/dvc calculate around 41,000. The numbers work for the initial opening of the parks to support only opening Deluxe/DVC.
(numbers are estimates based on posted numbers)
WILL THAT HAPPEN?
We won't know until it is actually July 11th or later because nothing is official at Disney, not even if they say so (they often go back) until it is actual done and finished and happening. Our experiences are a very small percentage of Disney guests. Fingers crossed they find a way to be more fully open, maybe why they waited until July was in hopes the state allows increased capacity at the parks by then. Maybe why they are doing this slowly and weekly and holding back on many July reservations.
We had 6/27-7/3 FD. 
I haven't read that yet, but it does make a lot of sense. Thanks!
I typically will spend the tiny extra (usually equates to $30 more per visit) to get a garden view. My dd loves mornings on the balcony while I am still getting ready and the parking lot view just doesn't have the same relaxing atmosphere.
