To Infinity and Beyond - Becoming a Better DopeyBadger (Comments Welcome)

Either that, or have Alberto Salazar coach you... I hear everyone of his athletes have a thyroid condition 😂

Joking aside, besides improving your insulin sensitivity, Iodine is a great way to help you regulate weight better. Iodine helps your thyroid work better(simplified version lol). Personally I’ve added kombu and dulse into my diet and I’ve noticed some nice improvements! Plus they have loads of other nutrients and potassium 😆
I would be curious to hear what frequency or intake you have found to see (sea?) an effect. I would also be interested in how you are adding it. I haven't found palatable ways to add sea veggies to non-Asian food.
 
You know, I can't follow pro football, but I thought that grade-school football would be simpler. Apparently not! :) Congrats to G (and you) for the win!


Well when I say we played "man" defense and then switched to "zone" defense, in reality it was:

Man - G cover the kid with red shorts
Zone - G stand here and watch the ball.

The kids don't really know the difference between the two. I'm just trying to put them in the right position.

Offense is a bit trickier. We have 5 different colored wristbands the kids wear with 6 plays on them. We say a play number and the kid finds their colored dot (corresponding to the wristband color) to see what the dot does in the play. Then they do it. We haven't had much practice yet so it's tough for them to understand. Plus since they're K-1st grade I think a few don't know their numbers yet. So we're thinking of switching the plays from "Play 1" to "Play :dog:". It's a work in progress, but as long as they're having fun that's what matters.
 
Well when I say we played "man" defense and then switched to "zone" defense, in reality it was:

Man - G cover the kid with red shorts
Zone - G stand here and watch the ball.

The kids don't really know the difference between the two. I'm just trying to put them in the right position.

Offense is a bit trickier. We have 5 different colored wristbands the kids wear with 6 plays on them. We say a play number and the kid finds their colored dot (corresponding to the wristband color) to see what the dot does in the play. Then they do it. We haven't had much practice yet so it's tough for them to understand. Plus since they're K-1st grade I think a few don't know their numbers yet. So we're thinking of switching the plays from "Play 1" to "Play :dog:". It's a work in progress, but as long as they're having fun that's what matters.

That sounds like a blast. My twins were in basketball for the first time last year and it’s so much fun to watch. You get a hint of an offense for about 5 seconds before it descends into chaos.
 


I would be curious to hear what frequency or intake you have found to see (sea?) an effect. I would also be interested in how you are adding it. I haven't found palatable ways to add sea veggies to non-Asian food.
I typically add kombu to my veggie dish, and I actually like the taste lol. You don’t need a lot, and so I know some ppl prefer Dulse flakes instead... taste like salt lol. Also, if you get wild caught fish that eats sea veggies then they can offer some similar benefits. Personally I always look for what the protein I’m eating has been fed, since that directly affects the nutritional composition of the food.
 


It's a work in progress, but as long as they're having fun that's what matters.
I think youth sports done properly can teach children about how teamwork really comes together. Too often we think one player gets all the credit, but how often do we ignore all the little things done that lead to that final result? Having fun and learning to work together will pay huge dividends down the road.
 
I think youth sports done properly can teach children about how teamwork really comes together. Too often we think one player gets all the credit, but how often do we ignore all the little things done that lead to that final result? Having fun and learning to work together will pay huge dividends down the road.

I agree. Although at this moment in time, I'm not sure the team is quite grasping that yet. Too young and well because...

giphy (1).gif
 
2019 DopeyBadger Racing Season Prediction Contest - Race #3 (DoLittle HM)

Alright posters and lurkers, let's play a prediction game! It's one of my favorite things to do pre-race. It's also something I do with everyone else on their training plans. Go through the process on deciding race day goals and pacing strategies all based around a possible finish time. I want to hear from everyone.

But here's the twist this time around- It's going to be a season long contest. I'll explain more below.

Please don't be concerned that your time prediction will have much of an impact on my chances. I could run really well, or I could crash and burn. Anything is possible. Here are some rules:

1) Predictions must be made after this post either in this journal, to me verbally, or on my Strava account.
2) Only one prediction per person per race/TT.
3) Predictions must be in by 48 hours prior to the race or time trial.
4) Predictions can be as close as you like to another person’s guess. So, if someone says 3:45:00, you can guess 3:45:01, or the same time (3:45:00).
5) A prediction must be in time. Thus, a guess of "you'll do your best" or something similar is appreciated but not valid.
6) In the event I don't finish, the race is cancelled, or I don't have an official time (unless pre-decided otherwise), then there will be no time recorded for that race.
7) The winner receives a mystery item via email.
8) An important one - To be eligible to win, a person must predict in at least one half marathon race and the 2020 Disney marathon.

I reserve the right to change these rules however I see fit, as after all, this is for fun.

How to play?

Simple explantation

You choose how fast you think I'll run a race when we're about a week out from the race itself. Don't worry I'll remind you.

Longer explantation on how it'll work

-You choose how fast you think I'll run a race when we're about a week out from the race itself.
-Whatever the difference is (negative or positive) from my official time to your prediction is your rolling value from one race to the next.

For example, let's say you predict I will run a 25:00 min 5k. And I run a 26:45 min 5k. Your difference from that race is a -1:45. You predicted my time too fast (thus negative) by 1:45.

As a different example, let's say you predict I will run a 25:00 min 5k. And I run a 24:30 min 5k. Your difference from that race is a +30 seconds. You predicted my time too slow (thus positive) by 30 sec.

The goal is to be the person closest to 0:00 at the end of the season. So if you were -30 seconds on the 5k, then maybe on the next race you'll want to guess 30 seconds slower than you actually think I'll run to try and get back to 0:00.

-You do not have to participate in every race to be eligible to win at the end. You are only required to play in at least one half marathon game and the 2020 Disney Marathon.
-But to incentivize you to predict in more races, for every race you play in above and beyond the required minimum of a HM and the M, you get a bonus 15 seconds. That means if someone plays in 6 total races (HM, M and 4 other races), then they'll get 60 bonus seconds (15*4) off their final time when the game is over. The bonus will not be applied until after the Disney Marathon. The bonus will not hurt you. So if you have 60 second bonus time, and you end with a +/- 45 second final score, then you end with 0:00 as your final adjusted score.

In the event of a tie, then the bonuses will be removed from each of the tied players to the unadjusted final score. Whomever is closer to 0:00, will be the winner. In the event, that after removal of bonuses the unadjusted values are still tied, then it will be decided by some game decided by Gigi at a later point.

Current Race Schedule

This may or may not change based on how the 2019 season plays out.

4/12/2019 - One Mile Time Trial *Has occurred
5/25/2019 - Brat Fest 5k *Has occurred

9/22/2019 - DoLittle HM (This is the race to guess on)
10/20/2019 - Haunted Hustle HM (registered and treating as training run)
11/10/2019 - Madison HM (registered)
1/12/2020 - Disney Marathon

Since to be eligible to win at the end, you're required to play in at least one HM there are a few along the way. So keep that in mind if you're strategically selecting races along the way as there are three total HMs that have been registered for.

This schedule is based on me not getting injured between now and Disney. I'll do what is in my best interest when it comes down to the race. Even though Haunted Hustle will end up being a training run, it'll still be eligible for a prediction and thus eligibility purposes.

*****

DoLittle HM!

I've run on a similar course before, but because it changed there's a little bit of an unknown. The guy who manages the race usually does a really good job. So I expect that the mileage will come out very close to 13.11 miles as it always has. A little bit of an unknown because he had to make a last minute change, but I have faith. According to my calculations, the course should have about 290-400 elevation gain (or 22-30 feet per mile). A normal training run for me is about 38-40 feet per mile and Strava GAP says that costs me about 7 seconds per mile. So the 22-30 feet per mile should cost me about 4-5 seconds per mile if you're taking that into account. Weather is too far out to say anything with accuracy, but generally the T+D for this time of year is around 110-130 at 7am.

Out and Back on this:

Screen Shot 2019-09-11 at 8.52.09 AM.png

For me, the stated goal is to be below a 1:37 HM. I honestly believe that any time between a 1:30:00-1:42:00 is completely possible. It's been a little over a year since my last HM. I was running similar times in training then as I do now and ran a 1:41:21 at Hot2Trot and 1:37:35 at the Madison Mini. I'd like to say I'll do better this time around, but I don't actually know what will happen. As of the moment of writing this, I do plan to watch pace on my watch during the race. I plan to run the race as a "workout" from a mental standpoint as a 13 x 1 mile. I've got a rough idea what I want to try and do, but nothing solid yet. I'd like to see a start slow and finish fast type of race with Pac-Manning along the way.

So as a reminder, the goal is to have a season ending score of 0:00. Here are the current standings:

Screen Shot 2019-09-11 at 11.54.07 AM.png

So for example, let's use @canglim52 as an example. He currently has predicted 146 seconds too fast based on the last two races. Let's say canglim52 actually thinks I'll run a 1:30:00 HM at DoLittle. Since he's currently sitting at -146, then he would actually want to guess a 1:32:26 (1:30:00 + 146 seconds) if he believes I'll run a 1:30:00 flat. This will cancel out the amount of time off he was from the other two races and get him back to zero. Players with a (-) number in the cumulative time off column want to guess a time slower than they actually think I will run. Players with a (+) number in the cumulative time off column want to guess a time faster than they actually think I will run.

Also, being that this game was designed as a season long does not exclude one from jumping in late. You could have not played in the first two races and yet want to start playing now, and that's perfectly fine. Additionally, you could have played in the first two races and yet want to sit out on the DoLittle HM prediction. That's fine too. But as a reminder, anyone who plays in not their first HM prediction (which one HM is required) earns a 15 second bonus on their final time guess at the end of the game for each race played. Since this is the first HM race, no one can earn a bonus for this one. But remember, you must play at least one HM race to be eligible to win at the end. You can always ask questions if you're confused about this (also see the rules section under the spoiler tag).

Everyone has until 48 hours prior to the race to get their prediction in. So your guess is due by Friday, September 20th at 7am.

Current Guesses

1:28:00 - Steph
1:28:48 - @Sleepless Knight
1:29:39 - @DerTobi75
1:30:55 - @canglim52
1:31:24 - @mrsg00fy
1:32:10 - @disneygpa
1:32:42 - @MissLiss279
1:33:07 - @surfde22
1:33:38 - @Chaitali
1:34:00 - @cburnett11
1:35:21 - Me
1:35:44 - @michigandergirl
1:35:50 - @flav
1:35:55 - @JAMIESMITH
1:36:01 - @bovie
1:36:11 - @TeeterTots
1:36:15 - @Jules76126
1:37:10 - @SheHulk
1:37:13 - @KSellers88
1:37:23 - @FFigawi
1:37:27 - @SarahDisney
1:37:31 - @TheHamm
1:37:59 - @roxymama
1:38:01 - @lhermiston
1:38:42 - @QueenFernando
1:39:47 - @steph0808
1:42:00 - Gigi

Yet to submit

@DisMatt0483
@PkbaughAR
@ZellyB


Best of Luck!
 
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So for example, let's use @canglim52 as an example. He currently has predicted 107 seconds too fast based on the last two races. Let's say canglim52 actually thinks I'll run a 1:30:00 HM at DoLittle. Since he's currently sitting at -107, then he would actually want to guess a 1:31:47 (1:30:00 + 107 seconds) if he believes I'll run a 1:30:00 flat. This will cancel out the amount of time off he was from the other two races and get him back to zero. Players with a (-) number in the cumulative time off column want to guess a time slower than they actually think I will run. Players with a (+) number in the cumulative time off column want to guess a time faster than they actually think I will run.

I like how I'm so far off that you can't even use me as an example :)

I'm going to deviate from my pattern and NOT guess NYC marathon qualifying time this race. But before I make my guess ... will you be running this one in the ugly green monstrosities (aka Next%)? That will have an effect on my guess, since I think you'd run a different time in those shoes than you would in other shoes.
 
I like how I'm so far off that you can't even use me as an example :)

That's the beauty of the game though, you can erase any deficit with a good guess in an upcoming race. So you could go from last to first with a single guess.

I'm going to deviate from my pattern and NOT guess NYC marathon qualifying time this race. But before I make my guess ... will you be running this one in the ugly green monstrosities (aka Next%)? That will have an effect on my guess, since I think you'd run a different time in those shoes than you would in other shoes.

I'd say there is a 99% chance I will be running in the Next%. The only scenario I can think of is an absolute torrential rain that would permanently ruin the shoes. Based on only two runs and an educated guess, I would say the Next% shoes are making me about 8-12 seconds faster than my other shoes in rotation. According to an online excel sheet based on the data generated by the Kipp 2019 paper, the Next% shoes for my height and weight would yield a 15 sec/mile increase in pace based on an improvement of 4% in running economy.
 
Okay. So my very informed calculated guess, adjusting for how far behind I am, is ...

1:37:27
(... which is actually fairly close to the Madison Mini time, which is where I started my calculations ...)

Make sure you run exactly 226 seconds faster than that, because I did a lot of math to get that number and I want to win.
 
Okay. So my very informed calculated guess, adjusting for how far behind I am, is ...

1:37:27
(... which is actually fairly close to the Madison Mini time, which is where I started my calculations ...)

Make sure you run exactly 226 seconds faster than that, because I did a lot of math to get that number and I want to win.

Sounds like a plan. If you nail this prediction, you might have to show the class your mathematical reasoning. It's pretty close to what I came up with using a current Garmin VO2max - 7 points which would be in the ballpark (range of 5.9-8.5) of what I've seen in races when the T+D is less than 130.
 
I'm not eligible because I didn't participate in earlier contests since they did not present a way for me to use my standard guess. But this one does.

88.8

 
I'm not eligible because I didn't participate in earlier contests since they did not present a way for me to use my standard guess. But this one does.

88.8


Not sure what you mean by "I'm not eligible", but just to be clear to anyone else looking to jump in:

Also, being that this game was designed as a season long does not exclude one from jumping in late. You could have not played in the first two races and yet want to start playing now, and that's perfectly fine. Additionally, you could have played in the first two races and yet want to sit out on the DoLittle HM prediction. That's fine too. But as a reminder, anyone who plays in not their first HM prediction (which one HM is required) earns a 15 second bonus on their final time guess at the end of the game for each race played. Since this is the first HM race, no one can earn a bonus for this one. But remember, you must play at least one HM race to be eligible to win at the end. You can always ask questions if you're confused about this (also see the rules section under the spoiler tag).

Do you want the 88.8 to be 1:28:48 (88.8 min)?
 

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