DoC got it from here:
It’s definitely an all-time high. At a minimum, the free night should be used at a 70k hotel (or preferably 80k+). And with the recent minor deval, it makes the FN that much better.
Here was my take on it from that thread:
For those not in the know, that Free Night should be estimated at 70-80k or 60-64k if you’re a “5 nights at one spot” person.
Either way, this is an incredible offer. Ends 8/28
For both the Surpass and Business offers, keep in mind there is a 2nd Free Weekend Night you receive after spending $15,000 on the card. Because the MSRs are $4k and $5k, respectively; that means you can spend $11k or $10k for the 2nd night (+ points earned). Even at the base spend of 3x, when you add the free night, it becomes more like 11x return (or ~4.4%). Not terrible. If you’re an organic spend person, I’d still target MSRs; but if you MS or have high organic spend, I’d get to the $15k.
Now: specific for Disney - remember that Hilton is valuable for Tokyo Disney if that’s an aspirational trip. Regardless if under 5/24 or not; if you haven’t gotten this yet, grabbing at least the Hilton Business should be a no brainer here.
I’m personally going to get the Surpass for both me and P2 but will wait a couple days to see if referral offers elevate first.